Sunday, August 23, 2009

School's Back In Session

Hello everyone. For those that live in Greenville, you know that ECU is back in full swing. The uptick in traffic is tremendous. I was on Greenville Blvd Saturday, Aug 22 as the storm came into the area. Being stuck in traffic as the winds pick up isn't an easy feeling. I was able to get home just as the rain began to fall. I then grabbed my camera and took some pictures. I posted them on www.PittCountyLife.com. I will leave the link to them there for a few days.

For the younger students and as a memory refresher to the rest of us, I posted the song "Old McDonald Had A Farm" on the website. That will be there until I find something else I want to post. If you ever find something I can link to that would be appropriate for the time, let me know. You can email me at info@PittCountyLife.com.

ECU Students, welcome back to Greenville! We may complain about the extra traffic, but we are glad you are here. Go Pirates!!

Tuesday, August 18, 2009

Hurricane Bill Forecast

It is early on August 18th. Hurricane Bill is currently a category 2 hurricane churning in the central Atlantic. The National Hurricane Center forecast is for Bill to move west-northwest and then curve more northward within 5 days. The official track takes Bill between North Carolina and Bermuda. This track would only produce high waves along the coast, but there would be no actual weather affect here. All computer models keep Bill off our shore at this time. Of course, that could change, but I haven't ever seen a shift that large given the upcoming weather patterns.

A large trough of low pressure is forecast by all models to move into the Eastern US over the next few days. This will be the guiding force to curve Bill northward off the coast. This is a very large trough and is shown by all models, so confidence is high.

It is always good to be prepared for a hurricane. That means having food that can last and having a way to prepare it without electricity. Think of how you would survive without electricity or a way of travel out of your area. Think of drinking water, medicines, food, baby needs if appropriate, hygene, and comfort.

Hurricane Season ends November 30th!

Take care,

Phillip Williams

Sunday, August 9, 2009

Hurricane Season About to Crank Up

Hello everyone. We're entering mid August which is the start of the most active portion of the Atlantic hurricane season. As of early on August 10th, a disturbance near the Cape Verde islands off the west coast of Africa is strating to churn westward. Some computer models develop this feature into the first named storm of the season. That will be Anna.

The GFS computer model from late on August 9th takes this system across the ocean and makes it a threat to the United States the weekend of Aug 22 and 23. Throughout the last several years, the GFS model makes most every disturbance a hurricane and moves them in a pattern that puts the US at risk. While that means there is no need for undo alarm now, we should pay attention to this disturbance. It has to survive a long trip over the ocean and with El Nino kicking up, this disturbance will likely encounter some hostile upper winds along the journey.

Should it strengthen to a point to overcome any upper winds that attempt to strangle it, then we could be having something to watch closely late next week.

If you are wondering about why this season is taking so long to get started, it could be the development of El Nino. That is a warming of a band of ocean current in the Pacific Ocean. This warmer water causes more storms to form over the Pacific, which causes more upper winds to leave these storms and blow over the Atlantic. Atlantic tropical system do not favor these strong upper winds, called wind shear. Wind shear prevents Atlantic storms from holding together in a pattern that can begin to swirl into a hurricane.

If you have any questions about hurricanes, please add them to this blog.

Phillip Williams